2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance | Morgan Stanley (2024)

Index Definitions

S&P 500 Index: The Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 Index tracks the performance of 500 widely held, large-capitalization US stocks.

Risk Considerations

Equity securities may fluctuate in response to news on companies, industries, market conditions and general economic environment.

The value of fixed income securities will fluctuate and, upon a sale, may be worth more or less than their original cost or maturity value. Bonds are subject to interest rate risk, call risk, reinvestment risk, liquidity risk, and credit risk of the issuer.

High yield bonds (bonds rated below investment grade) may have speculative characteristics and present significant risks beyond those of other securities, including greater credit risk, price volatility, and limited liquidity in the secondary market. High yield bonds should comprise only a limited portion of a balanced portfolio.

Companies paying dividends can reduce or cut payouts at any time.

Asset allocation and diversification do not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining financial markets.

Investing in small- to medium-sized companies entails special risks, such as limited product lines, markets and financial resources, and greater volatility than securities of larger, more established companies.

Because of their narrow focus, sector investments tend to be more volatile than investments that diversify across many sectors and companies. Technology stocks may be especially volatile. Risks applicable to companies in the energy and natural resources sectors include commodity pricing risk, supply and demand risk, depletion risk and exploration risk. Health care sector stocks are subject to government regulation, as well as government approval of products and services, which can significantly impact price and availability, and which can also be significantly affected by rapid obsolescence and patent expirations.

The indices are unmanaged. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. They are shown for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the performance of any specific investment.

The indices selected by Morgan Stanley Wealth Management to measure performance are representative of broad asset classes. Morgan Stanley Wealth Management retains the right to change representative indices at any time.

Disclosures

Morgan Stanley Wealth Management is the trade name of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, a registered broker-dealer in the United States. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, its affiliates and Morgan Stanley Financial Advisors do not provide legal or tax advice. Each client should always consult his/her personal tax and/or legal advisor for information concerning his/her individual situation and to learn about any potential tax or other implications that may result from acting on a particular recommendation.

This material, or any portion thereof, may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC.

© 2024 Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, Member SIPC.

CRC# 6187449 (01/2024)

2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance | Morgan Stanley (2024)

FAQs

2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance | Morgan Stanley? ›

Key Takeaways. The U.S. equity market's rally at the end of 2023 has left stocks overvalued, with little room for error. Analysts' estimates for 2024 corporate earnings may be too optimistic, given a likely tapering in U.S. economic growth. Markets may also be overestimating the number of Fed rate cuts in 2024.

What is the outlook for Morgan Stanley in 2024? ›

Recent economic indicators have prompted Morgan Stanley Research to revise its forecast for U.S. economic growth, now projecting 2.3% for 2024 and 2.1% for 2025, up from previous estimates of 1.9% and 1.4%, respectively.

What is the prediction for the stock market in 2024? ›

The Big Money bulls forecast that the Dow Jones Industrial Average will end 2024 at about 41,231, 9% higher than current levels. Market optimists had a mean forecast of 5461 for the S&P 500 and 17,143 for the Nasdaq Composite —up 9% and 10%, respectively, from where the indexes were trading on May 1.

Should I pull my money out of the stock market in 2024? ›

Note to Investors: Stay Calm and Carry On

Stock market investors may be anxious, but as the old saying goes, "There's no need to panic." "While we maintain a positive view on the U.S. stock market in 2024, there are a range of risk factors that could derail the current bull market," Dilley says.

Will 2024 be a bull or bear market? ›

With stock indexes at all-time highs, it seems we are in the midst of a new bull market. While much of the market's recent gains have come from a handful of stocks, the rally has begun to broaden in recent months. Expectations of an earnings rebound in 2024 suggest earnings could continue to drive the market higher.

What is the best investment for 2024? ›

Bankrate's AdvisorMatch can connect you to a CFP® professional to help you achieve your financial goals.
  1. Growth stocks. Overview: In the world of stock investing, growth stocks are the Ferraris. ...
  2. Stock funds. ...
  3. Bond funds. ...
  4. Dividend stocks. ...
  5. Value stocks. ...
  6. Target-date funds. ...
  7. Real estate. ...
  8. Small-cap stocks.

What is the stock market prediction for 2025? ›

The stock market just flashed bullish a signal suggesting 19% upside by August 2025, BofA says. The S&P 500 just flashed a bullish signal that suggests a 19% gain by August 2025, according to Bank of America. The bank highlighted the stock market's 12 consecutive months of positive year-over-year gains.

Should I pull my money out of the stock market? ›

It can be nerve-wracking to watch your portfolio consistently drop during bear market periods. After all, nobody likes losing money; that goes against the whole purpose of investing. However, pulling your money out of the stock market during down periods can often do more harm than good in the long term.

Is 2024 a good year to buy stocks? ›

Economists agree — 2024 may be a strong year for U.S. stocks. The S&P 500 rose 24% in 2023, according to MarketWatch, and recently crossed the 5,000 mark, according to Barron's. This year, we may see a “stock-pickers paradise,” according to Savita Subramanian, head of equity and quant strategy for Bank of America.

Should I liquidate my stocks? ›

Investors might sell a stock if it's determined that other opportunities can earn a greater return. If an investor holds onto an underperforming stock or is lagging the overall market, it may be time to sell that stock and put the money to work in another investment.

At what age should you get out of the stock market? ›

There are no set ages to get into or to get out of the stock market. While older clients may want to reduce their investing risk as they age, this doesn't necessarily mean they should be totally out of the stock market.

How long should you leave your money in the stock market? ›

Stock market investments should be held as part of a long-term investment plan, which means you shouldn't expect to need the money for at least five years, if not longer. However, sometimes goals change, so it's important to reevaluate them periodically.

When should you cash out your stocks? ›

If something fundamental about the company or its stock changes, that can be a good reason to sell. For example: The company's market share is falling, perhaps because a competitor is offering a superior product for a lower price. Sales growth has noticeably slowed.

How high will the S&P 500 go in 2024? ›

The high-water mark for stock projections in 2024 has once again moved up. In a note to clients on Monday, Wells Fargo's head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, boosted his year-end target for the S&P 500 (^GSPC) to 5,535 from 4,625.

Will there be a bull run in 2024? ›

Its forecast puts 2024 growth at 0.4 per cent, rising to 1 per cent next year, similar to the BoE's conclusions. Capital Economics thinks UK GDP could grow by 0.8 per cent this year and 1.5 per cent next year.

Are we in a bear or bull market right now? ›

It's official. A new bull market is confirmed. The S&P 500 is now up 20% from its 10/12/22 closing low. The prior bear market saw the index fall 25.4% over 282 days.

What is the 30 for 2025 Morgan Stanley? ›

  • Communication Services – 10.08% Alphabet, Inc. ...
  • Consumer Discretionary – 13.33% Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. ...
  • Consumer Staples – 6.75% Costco Wholesale Corp. ...
  • Energy – 6.65% Cheniere Energy, Inc. ...
  • Financials – 20.00% American Express Company. ...
  • Health Care – 13.26% ...
  • Industrials – 13.26% ...
  • Information Technology – 6.64%
Mar 23, 2023

What is the long term forecast for Morgan Stanley stock price? ›

Morgan Stanley stock price stood at $94.79

According to the latest long-term forecast, Morgan Stanley price will hit $100 by the end of 2024 and then $110 by the middle of 2025. Morgan Stanley will rise to $125 within the year of 2026, $150 in 2028 and $200 in 2032.

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